Sale pelo con finasteride ) Monsanto (MON) shares have fallen 3%, in a shock reversal from post-earnings surge that triggered the stock to more than 30% higher. Earlier in the day, shares peaked at $103.57, and then fell sharply after the market-leading company said it was reducing its full-year production forecast, saying recent results suggested an oversupply of crops.
Meanwhile, biotech giant Bayer (BAYGn), which is in the throes of a huge merger with fellow German company Monsanto, shares are up 5.5%.
And while there's growing consensus that the Monsanto and Bayer deals will be successful, the reality is that combined Monsanto/Bayer entity may now only remain at the height of a biotech bubble until the inevitable collapses.
Related: Is the U.S. Monsanto/GMO Stock Buy Price Too High?
The reasons for slide are numerous, especially with a huge number of organic and small farmers who are still worried about the new, costly and inefficient regulations from the government and industry.
Meanwhile, as the U.S. market opens to foreign crops genetically engineered tolerate Monsanto's Roundup and other chemicals, these concerns have grown for farmers who see Monsanto's Roundup being the primary weed killer.
And Monsanto's high cash cost per year, as well the fact that it's an aging tech company that hasn't made good on its promises to deliver breakthroughs in genetically engineered crops that produce higher yields, has made it challenging for Monsanto to get consumers buy the company's GMO crops.
Meanwhile, a recent SEC ruling on potential litigation issues with Monsanto's glyphosate discount code for online pharmacy business may even contribute to more investor concerns about the company.
So what's going on?
In short, Monsanto and Bayer are facing a difficult road ahead to achieve their merger. Here are some key reasons why:
1. Monsanto's Roundup Ready GMO crops are an expensive commodity
Bayer has reportedly spent about $9 billion since 2009 to Zovirax 30 Pills 400mg $119 - $3.97 Per pill develop a soybean with the Roundup Ready trait, largest GMO program worldwide. The program, which includes 2.4 million acres in the U.S., has proven to be expensive. By 2015, the program will have already added $4 billion in costs over its first five years.
Related: Monsanto's Roundup Ready GMO Soybean in Trouble with Monsanto, The World's Most Hated Company
To make matters worse. The USDA has already approved Monsanto's new Roundup Ready crops for commercial use.
According to USDA data, Roundup Ready soybeans accounted for about $1.34 billion of the $5.7 in total glyphosate herbicide-use costs. Monsanto uses about 1.1 million metric tons from its Roundup Ready lines, for an estimated 1.1 million tons of usable glyphosate used for its GMO crops of all sizes.
In essence Monsanto's Roundup Ready GMO soybean program, with its $9 billion price tag, is already being subsidized by the government. And if USDA's Roundup Ready program proves to be too costly, or it grows to be a very expensive program. Monsanto could face a much smaller market from the USDA's growing weedkiller crop subsidies.
Related: The USDA's 'GMO Basket': How Crop Subsidies Work.
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